What should you do with L&T shares post Q3 result: Buy, sell or hold?

L&T reported a 5% y-o-y growth in consolidated profit for Q3 FY21 on the back of highest-ever orders in a quarter. What should you do with L&T shares post Q3 result: Buy, sell or hold?

Larsen & Toubro (L&T) reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 2,467 crore in the December quarter, up nearly 5 per cent from same period last year as lower expenses lent some support to the bottom-line even as revenues were a tad muted.

Higher profit was also attributed to increased profits from IT & TS segment and sale of commercial property in realty. Bottomline also includes gain on divestment of Rs 209 crore from discontinued operations for the quarter ended December, said the company in its release.

The gain of divestment includes sale of the electrical and automation business to Schneider Electric SE and sale of the UK based Marine control & automation systems subsidiary to Rolls-Royce Power Systems AG, it said.

Consolidated net sales in the period under review stood at Rs 35,596 crore, down marginally by 1.78 percent from December quarter last year.

The company’s consolidated EBITDA margin in the December quarter was at 12 percent, up 60 basis point from preceding quarter.

In segment wise businesses, the company’s infrastructure garnered the highest revenue of Rs 15,973 crore in the December quarter but was down 7 percent from same period last year. This was followed IT & Technology Service, where revenue stood at Rs 6,530 crore in the period under review, up 6.6 percent from corresponding period last year.

Infrastructure Segment secured orders of Rs 45,574 crore, during the quarter ended December, up 80 percent on year-on-year basis, with receipt of two marquee orders of High-Speed Rail, said the company release. International orders in this segment constituted 7 percent of the total order inflow.

During the quarter the company was awarded the biggest engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract in the country and first of its kind – High Speed Rail order.

With this, the Group order inflow for the quarter ended December 31, 2020 registered a growth of 76 percent over the corresponding quarter of the previous year and stood at Rs 73,233 crore.

International orders during the quarter constituted 14 percent of the total order inflow. On a cumulative basis, the order inflow for the nine months period ended December 31, 2020 stood at Rs 124,846 crore.

Alongside, the consolidated order book of the Group stood at a record high level of Rs 331,061 crore as at December 31, 2020, registering a growth of 9 percent over the March’20 level. The international orders constitute 20 percent of the total order book.

Despite a strong order book, the management refrained from giving any guidance on order flow for the coming quarters.

Though the overall order book of the company looked strong, the management informed that nearly 90-95 percent of its orders were government projects (state and central) as private capex continues to remain subdued amid ongoing pandemic.

“Within the business segments, thermal power and high-end real estate orders have seen no uptick,” informed Raman.

Though, the company remains optimistic about catching up on revenues in coming quarters, making up for first four months lost due to Covid-19, the management informed that headwinds around project execution continues amid a lot of covid-care measure that is impacting productivity.

“The supply chain just coming back as it took some time to adjust to the knocks it got during pandemic. At our end, we are trading with caution in the current situation,” informed the management.

What should you do with L&T shares post Q3 result: Buy, sell or hold? Below is a summary of what some brokerages are saying about the stock and the company after the Q3 numbers:

Broker House Recommendation Price Target Key Drivers
Dolat Capital Buy Rs 1,680 Recovery in the capex cycle. Its size, diversity and balance sheet are key competitive advantages.
Sharekhan Buy Rs 1,550 Benefit from strong traction in its core E&C business led by government-led infrastructure projects and revival in private capex.
ICICI direct Buy Rs 1,640 Higher workforce mobilisation and supply chain normalisation that could improve over the next few months.
Prabhudas Lilladher Buy Rs 1,526 L&T is well-placed to emerge stronger given its financial, technical and managerial capability to sustain and gain market share.
Motilal Oswal Buy Rs 1,625 With negligible net gearing in the core business, the all-time high order book and OB-to-revenue ratio of 3.7x, provides strong revenue visibility.
Credit Suisse Outperform Rs 1,700 The EBIT margin in EPC was in-line with stronger margin in hydrocarbons & weaker in infra.
Morgan Stanley Overweight Rs 1,512 It’s continued to focus on strong cash generation and ended Q3 with record order inflows & order book
Citi Buy Rs 1,657 he quality & competitive advantage shine through, while order inflows were driven by large orders from HSR & refineries.
Goldman Sachs Buy Rs 1,650 Results were a strong performance in a challenging macro environment and Q3 earnings indicate sequential improvement in performance hereon
UBS Buy Rs 1,575 The book-to-bill ratio was at a 20-quarter high, while valuations are still undemanding.

 

L&T share price rose over a percent in early trade on January 27 after the company announced its December quarter earnings. However the share lost it’s early gain and traded down over a percent at 11.15 hours.

 

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